The Game of Coronavirus: The Coronavirus is killing people all over the world. Much more or less. The first victim of Corona was in Wuhan, China.
Then this virus created panic in Italy and heaped dead bodies. By the end of March, 11 percent of the people infected with the virus had died in Italy. At the same time, this virus also spread in Italy’s neighboring country Germany.
But the death toll here was quite small. Only one percent of the total infected people died. In China, where the outbreak of the virus started spreading, there was four percent of the entire people who died. At the same time, Israel has the lowest percentage of coronavirus infection i.e., 0.35 percent.
Like the Coronavirus, the mystery of this disparity between the statistics of death in different countries is beyond comprehension at the moment. If the number of people dying in the same region starts picking up, then there is a sudden decrease. After all, what is the matter? Are we making a mistake in estimating the death toll? Or is it because of the corona investigation?
What is the final death rate?
Actually, there are two types of destruction. At this time, people who are dying after getting to Corona positive, it is called “case fatality rate” in English.
At the same time, people who are dying after infection spreads, it is called “infection fatality rate.” Think of it this way. Suppose 100 people are suffering from Corona. The condition of 10 of them is so bad that they are taken to the hospital, where they are all Corona positive.
The remaining 90 people are not tested at all. Now one of the patients who has been brought to the hospital dies, while 99 people are saved. This gives us an idea of the ‘case intensity rate,’ which is 1 in 10. But the ‘infection ability rate’ will be just one or one percent in 100.
Some countries are testing only those patients whose condition is worse. Moreover, they are being brought to the hospital. In which the symptoms are seen, they are not being studied yet. That is originally is currently being introduced in the UK.
That is why the death rate in such countries is higher than in those countries where Corona is being investigated on a large scale. While in Germany and South Korea. Even in the absence of test kits, the Corona is not being tested on a large scale in most countries of the world.
That is why the figures for death from all over the world cannot be guessed correctly. If there is a large-scale investigation of both infected and positive patients, then only the mortality rate will be accurately estimated.
After the confirmation of the first Corona infected patient in the village of Italy, 3300 people from the whole town were tested. On getting the report, it was found that a 3 percent population of the village has already been infected. However, the symptoms are not visible in anyone.
A similar picture is also seen in Iceland. So far, a corona investigation of 2 lakh 65 thousand people has been done, which is more than three percent of the total population.
This included both symptomatic and non-symptomatic patients. The results of the investigation revealed that half the population is entirely infected.
This figure may be slightly lower, because there will be many people in whom, if the symptoms are not equal, then they have not been investigated. But it can be assumed that one percent population of Iceland i.e., 3650 people, are infected with the Coronavirus.
Antibody tests give an idea of the body’s immunity to the virus. Also, know which person has the infection. But there is a need for such tests, which can find out which person has increased their immunity to the virus and can recover and live life without the virus. After two weeks in the village of Italy, the process of investigation was stopped. There are only two COVID-19 patients in Iceland so far.
There is another reason for the difference in death figures. At this time, if someone has died due to some respiratory disease, then that too is considered to be COVID-19’s death as we see in the UK.
Here, if someone has been investigated Corona and whatever the reason is for the death, it is counted only in the death of COVID-19.
Similar is the case in Germany and Hong Kong. But this thing is being taken care of in America. Here the doctors are instructed to give full details of the death of the sick in the death certificate.
But at present, as many deaths are transpiring and they have symptoms of Corona, they are considered to be deaths from Corona. The more deaths registered under COVID-19, the foundation of this epidemic will be estimated based on that.
Often, during the epidemic, doctors also accept the cause of death as the epidemic. It is the nature of man that he starts imagining the worst situation in times of trouble.
His thinking becomes negative. But later, when that round is seen, a different picture appears. In 2009, for example, many cases of swine flu were reported. The death rate was also quite high.
More than ten reasons were given for this. Even in the ten weeks of the epidemic, the number of victims in different countries started to vary. Later, when all the papers were studied again, it was found that the number of people who died due to the H1N1 virus was very less—just 0.02 percent.
There is another reason for the difference in mortality. Many people are also dying, who have no record of the disease. And the coronavirus infection has not been investigated either. The person who died in the investigation may have been Corona positive.
Or it could be that even after showing signs of Corona, that person has not been taken to the hospital and died. Now, also though the Coronavirus may be the cause of death, it will not fall into the category of those who died due to the corona epidemic.
Similar was observed in the Nimbro town of Lombardy, Italy. According to government records, 31 people have died here due to Coronavirus. While the number of deaths in this area these days, it is more than the history of last year.
In the first month of this year, 35 people died in Nimbro alone. Now, since there is no investigation, it is difficult to say how many people died due to Coronavirus and for other reasons.
The availability of beds in the hospital for treatment also plays a significant role. In countries that do not have excellent health services, it is being decided first that which patient is most in need of treatment. For this reason, many patients are being denied an investigation. He is dying due to lack of timely treatment.
Apart from this, it is essential for Corona positive and infected people to have separate hospitals, doctors, and care staff. If the same doctor and staff will treat corona positive and other patients, then the risk of spreading the infection will also increase.
Its example has also been seen in India. Many cancer patients in Delhi became infected with the Coronavirus, as they were being treated by the same doctors who were affected by the Coronavirus.
Age is also a significant factor in the difference in mortality. For example, in 2019, a quarter of Italy’s population was 65 or older. While in China, this population was 11 percent. By mid-March, the death rate in Italy was 7.2 percent, while in China, it was only 2.3 percent.
There is a difference in the figures of Italy and China in the death rate of the elderly. In Italy, for example, the death rate of people aged 70–79 is 12.8 percent.
Whereas in China it is 8 percent. The death rate for people aged 80 is 20.2 percent in Italy, while it is 14.8 percent in China. The reason for this difference in the mortality rate of people of the same age is beyond the understanding of researchers.
One reason may be that viral infection is very high in Italy. If there is any bacterial infection in the body, then it prepares the ground for other infections in the body.
Now, it may be that even for those who died of COVID-19, a lot of bacteria like pneumonia already exist in the body. By the way, Italy has always been in the category of a healthier country than China.
At present, the biggest reason for the difference in mortality is the lack of investigation. And now, only those patients are being treated in hospitals who need immediate treatment.
There will be many people who are victims of COVID-19 but have not been caught. At present, researchers will have to wait a little longer to get an accurate idea of mortality from COVID-19.